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Archive for November, 2010

Buried in basketball preseason work and other matters for the Bristol mothership, but here’s a streamlined final bracketology. I’ve tweeted my two cents on the utter uselessness of conference tournaments, vis a vis Mark Krikorian’s decision, but as it is every year, it’s going to be a shame if teams like Denver (lost to Middle Tennessee State in the Sun Belt final) and Toledo (lost to Western Michigan in the MAC semifinals) miss out on the NCAA tournament because one goal in a conference tournament trumped an entire season of work.

That said, the losses by Hofstra and UC Irvine on Sunday, combined with some strong finishes from teams like Oklahoma, South Florida, Connecticut and Penn State make it fairly competitive bubble this year. And unfortunately, I just don’t see the quantity of results for either Toledo (barely) or Denver (by a wider margin) to make it as at-large teams. For what I would consider fairness sake, I hope I’m wrong. Automatic bids listed in caps below.

Multiple-bid projections
ACC: WAKE FOREST, North Carolina, Maryland, Virginia, Florida State, Boston College, Duke, Virginia Tech
Big 12: OKLAHOMA STATE, Texas A&M, Texas, Oklahoma
Big East: WEST VIRGINIA, Marquette, Notre Dame, Georgetown, South Florida, Connecticut
Big Ten: OHIO STATE, Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, Penn State
Big West: LONG BEACH STATE, UC Irvine
CAA: JAMES MADISON, Hofstra
CUSA: MEMPHIS, Central Florida
Mountain West: BYU, New Mexico
Pac-10: STANFORD, USC, UCLA, Oregon State, Arizona State, Washington, California
SEC: FLORIDA, South Carolina, Auburn
West Coast: PORTLAND, Santa Clara, San Diego

One-bid conferences
Atlantic 10: DAYTON
America East: BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Atlantic Sun: MERCER
Big South: HIGH POINT
Big Sky: SACRAMENTO STATE
Horizon: MILWAUKEE
Ivy: PENN
MAAC: SIENA
MAC: CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Missouri Valley: CREIGHTON
NEC: ST. FRANCIS
OVC: MOREHEAD STATE
Patriot: LEHIGH
Southland: UTSA
Southern: UNC-GREENSBORO
Summitt: NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Sun Belt: MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE
SWAC: JACKSON STATE
WAC: FRESNO STATE

All results below are vs. RPI rankings. That’s certainly not the only criteria used for selection, but if you’re looking for easy shorthand to sum up a profile, it’s the place to start. The committee has always shown a strong inclination (too strong, in my opinion) to lean heavily on it.

Last five in
No. 60 Michigan
Last RPI: 33
5-4-3 vs top 100
2-3-1 vs. top 50
0-2-0 vs. top 25
5-3-2 last 10)

No. 61 UConn
Last RPI: 36
6-7-3 vs. top 100
3-5-1 vs. top 50
1-4-1 vs. top 25
5-4-1 last 10

No. 62 Penn State
Last RPI: 51
8-6-1 vs. top 100
4-5-1 vs. top 50
1-3-1 vs. top 25
8-2-0 last 10

No. 63 Auburn
Last RPI: 48
6-6-1 vs. top 100
2-3-0 vs. top 50
2-2-0 vs. top 25
4-4-2 last 10

No. 64 Virginia Tech
Last RPI: 39
4-9-1 vs. top 100
2-7-1 vs. top 50
2-4-0 vs. top 25
4-5-1 last 10

First five out
No. 65 Toledo
Last RPI: 41
3-2-2 vs. top 100
0-1-2 vs. top 50
0-0-0 vs. top 25
8-2-0 last 10

No. 66 Georgia
Last RPI: 53
4-6-2 vs. top 100
2-5-1 vs. top 50
0-3-1 vs. top 25
5-4-1 last 10

No. 67 Nebraska
Last RPI: 54
5-7-1 vs. top 100
1-5-1 vs. top 50
1-4-0 vs. top 25
5-4-1 last 10

No. 68 Denver
Last RPI: 45
3-2-0 vs. top 100
0-2-0 vs. top 50
0-1-0 vs top 2
9-1-0 last 10

No. 69 LMU
Last RPI: 49
3-5-1 vs. top 100
2-4-0 vs. top 50
1-2-0 vs. top
4-4-2 last 10

Next five out
SMU
Miami
Texas Tech
Rutgers
Tennessee

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